Journal of Aging and Health

 

Advanced Search

Journal Navigation

Journal Home

Subscriptions

Archive

Contact Us

Table of Contents

Click here to sign up for SAGE Journal Email Alerts today!

Sign In to gain access to subscriptions and/or personal tools.
This Article
Right arrow Full Text (PDF)
Right arrow References
Right arrow Alert me when this article is cited
Right arrow Alert me if a correction is posted
Right arrow Citation Map
Services
Right arrow Email this article to a friend
Right arrow Similar articles in this journal
Right arrow Alert me to new issues of the journal
Right arrow Add to Saved Citations
Right arrow Download to citation manager
Right arrowRequest Permissions
Right arrow Request Reprints
Right arrow Add to My Marked Citations
Citing Articles
Right arrow Citing Articles via HighWire
Right arrow Citing Articles via Google Scholar
Google Scholar
Right arrow Articles by Jagger, C.
Right arrow Articles by Morgan, K.
Right arrow Search for Related Content
PubMed
Right arrow Articles by Jagger, C.
Right arrow Articles by Morgan, K.
Social Bookmarking
Add to CiteULike   Add to Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us   Add to Digg   Add to Reddit   Add to Technorati  
What's this?
Journal of Aging and Health, Vol. 10, No. 2, 154-170 (1998)
DOI: 10.1177/089826439801000203

Planning for the Future

The Effect of Changing Mortality, Incidence, and Recovery Rates on Life Expectancy with Visual Disability

Carol Jagger, PhD, MSc, BSc

University of Leicester

Neil Raymond, BA

University of Leicester

Kevin Morgan, PhD, BSc

University of Sheffield

Health expectancy measures incorporating mortality and morbidity may better determine the future needs of older people than current methods solely using mortality rates. Life expectancy with and without visual disability was calculated from two longitudinal studies of the elderly. Various scenarios of changing input transition rates were then explored. Women had a greater probability of transition to disability. Thus, increases in incidence had a larger impact for women than for men on resulting life-years with visual disability, reducing the proportion of remaining disability-free life by 2.1%. When mortality continued to decrease but incidence increased and recovery decreased, there was an increase in life expectancy, although for women this was offset by an even greater increase in years spent with visual disability. Health expectancy calculated from longitudinal data may be useful in exploring potential future variations in incidence, treatment, and mortality rates and their effect on population health.


Add to CiteULike CiteULike   Add to Connotea Connotea   Add to Del.icio.us Del.icio.us   Add to Digg Digg   Add to Reddit Reddit   Add to Technorati Technorati    What's this?


This article has been cited by other articles:


Home page
 J Aging HealthHome page
S. J. Olshansky and R. Wilkins
Introduction
J Aging Health, May 1, 1998; 10(2): 123 - 135.
[PDF]